These are interesting times. And it is certainly exciting for any international relations enthusiast, to have multitudes of diplomatic cables on his computer screen. With cablegate leak, we are getting a peek into the secret world of diplomatic exchanges. But apart from all the excitement of gaining access to forbidden, and after going through many many articles in newspapers all over the world, and tid bits of cables, what I realized was that if, US diplomatic network was bollywood, then the publication of the documents would have been largely similar to publication of any other bollywood gossip magazine. But I add to this a disclaimer that I have certainly not read the whole leak, and my knowledge and research on the subject is largely limited to scanning of multitudes of newspaper and magazines articles.

There are very few things released which we don’t know already. Everyone in India knows that next door there is a hub of terrorists, and that US aid was never fully used against terrorists, it might have been fully used for the terrorists though. Indian foreign secretaries shouted from the rooftops that a great part of that aid is being used against India, but we had to wait for the cablegate to convince the world.

What we have largely got to know is the gossip in the American diplomatic network, and yes it does get juicy at times, such as the graphic discussion of lavish wedding at a small Caucasus country, Dagestan, with area little more than Mumbai. (But all those description of food, wine, the gold gifted, fireworks, firearms, was like a déjà vu to any Indian. Come on, you will find as much food and wine in every Punjabi wedding, Jat weddings are never complete without their sturdy ‘tau’ firing a shot or two from his gun, Gujratis are happy to display multitudes of fireworks, and in South Indian weddings, don’t even try to count number of gold ornaments. And all this happens in millions of weddings across India every year). It got amusing on how Saudi Arab King called Mr. Zardari a ‘rotten head’, but we Indians knew it already. (As said by a friend of mine, ‘how come an entire nation cannot find a sane person to rule it for 63 years’). Also, there was an interesting piece on a how Gaddafi goes nowhere without his Ukranian nurse, which was like a gossip straight out of a college campus, because some prints claimed it to be four blond Ukranian nurses. I am sure number and appearances of the ladies in question will keep on varying.

What is new and revealing is, the literal horse trading of Guantanamo prisoners. I say literal, because Arab King did suggest implanting chips in detainees just as they do with their horses. Interviews with the President, routes for Afghan War, incentive packages, etc. were instruments of negotiations to transfer the prisoners.

However, sensitive information on how so called Arab friends of Iran, asked for American help in stopping Iran’s nuke projects, is actually something, which I personally feel, shouldn’t have been leaked out. Iran had bragged of befriending all Arab nations, contemporaneously to the UNSC sanctions against it. It would have made negotiations, cajoling, prodding et al, easier if Iran had continued to believe the same. Now Iran is cautioned, will be more paranoid than ever and even though disclaiming the entire cablegate leak as another conspiracy of USA, it would surely go on a reality check and would constrict itself more.

Another set of documents, which according to me shouldn’t have been revealed, is the details of wishful planning of US and South Korea to merge North Korea with the latter. The documents detailing these terminate in February 2010, when North increased its military maneuver against South. Such planning will obviously be seen as conspiracy by the north, and could result in more hostility and acrimony in the peninsula.

Even though, somewhere in back of minds of common janta like us, it might be impalpable, that the subject matter of leaks weren’t already known in diplomatic circles all over the world, say, Iranian diplomats already knowing that Arab countries were just feigning friendship or North Korea test detonated a nuclear bomb just to put US –South Korea speculations to rest ; David Brooks of New York Times, strikes a chord when he writes that ‘quality of a conversation is determined by level of trust which is now damaged by exposure, just as our relationships with our neighbours would be damaged if every private assessment were brought to the light of day’. However, his fears of disruption of world order and catastrophe in international relations, can be countered by Hillary Clinton’s assurances that diplomacy will survive as no one is offended by the leaks, and that an assuring voice from a certain quarter that, ‘you should see what we say about you’, puts a comic relief to the whole discussion. And pragmatically analyzing, of course diplomacy will survive, nations are not so naïve to close diplomatc channels and prepare for wars.

But certainly, denial of service attacks against wikileaks, INTERPOL alerted on founder of wikileaks Julian Assange, and he being (amusingly) charged with charges of murder, rape and sexual abuse, certainly indicates that damage has been done and it is anticipated that more will be done. But Assange is confident that even if he is arrested, wikileaks will continue, and if he is put in mortal danger, password would be made public in order to reveal all the leaked matter for once and for ever.

Coming days promise to unravel whether world order will be disordered, or diplomacy will diplomatically change the way of its functioning, or is it a mere shuffle in kaleidoscope of international relations, which might mean slight change in attitudes but no major altering of relations.

As I said, we are surely living in interesting times.

Comments

Anonymous guest 9 Dec 2010, 23:36
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Good one..enjoyed reading.
Anonymous guest 10 Dec 2010, 18:25
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I have all praises for your linguistic capability. Your words have given a new life to a topic which according to me is not worth discussing. The facts revealed by this brouhaha of WikiLeaks is known to every prudent man and women off course. But still when UNCLE OBAMA endorses our bid for a permanent birth in the UNSC we were on our toes. It should be realised that the Western countries are not heavens and are very cunning. But we Indians get enamored by their fake statements. I being an NRI can guarantee that India inspite of being the presence of A.Raja is still by far the best place to be in.
aralyah 11 Dec 2010, 01:12
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hi,
Thanks a lot. This by far is one of the best comments i have received on my blog. You surely make my day. About promises of UNSC permanent seat to India, I just remembered a statement from leaked cables, which I forgot to add here, in which they termed India as 'self appointed forerunner to UNSC permanent seat'. I dont know how you will take this, but once I had overheard some elders in my family that India is certainly best place to be in because of its strong spiritual spine. But surely, India still has a long way to go.
cheers!!
Anonymous guest 11 Dec 2010, 15:25
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Just to make a comment on your comment. We have to go a long way but, we will have to find our way, We don't have to be the torch bearers of the WHITE MEN BURDEN. When I landed in a French speaking area, I asked them the way to the correct platform in English, They never replied. One Policeman came to me and told me that till the time I speak English I will not be answered, if I don't know French I should ask in Hindi. I tried it and they pressed their employee of Indian origin into service and the job was done! I boarded the right train. But to my excruciating regret, "OFFICIAL LANGUAGE IN THE SUPREME COURT OF INDIA IS ENGLISH",shame on us. Chinese has been recognized as an official language at the UN along with English, French and Spanish. Our bid for permanent seat should be a second priority, first should be to enter the UN with our own identity and make a demand for Hindi to be added to the list of official languages at the UN. If we have problems we will solve them, not good for nothing Obama. I was brutally looted by a transporter here in this law abiding country. I called the Police to help me out, they said that you have signed the contract and it is your personal problem. I lost 2000 Dollars in cash. My Mother wept in front of the police but they were unmoved. I had no other option but to be a mute spectator. India, nahi BHARAT ME POLUTION HAI, CORRUPTION HAI, PAR AAG BHI INSAANIYAT ZINDA HAI. Love and preserve that humanity. In India people are married for 70 years, here they don't marry but disappear after 6 months............I miss India and I love it.
kevin 11 Dec 2010, 18:58
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hey,

After readin your untoward experience, states appears 2 b a godforsaken country on social platform. And this has caused a substantial blot on my dream of wrking there.
I have my sympathies for your veritable situation but would have some reservations- No doubt the behavior of Americans towards their Asian counterparts is anti-auxiliary bt it's obvious whn they wake up 2 the fact that we r ate their jobs,economy etc so skillfully tht they feel threatened in their own country.(though the wider picture is not so simple bt that revelation won't change their perspective only bcoz they don't want to).
The truth remains that minimal assistance would b forwarded to us and in this market driven culture where only money matters.

As for India i wuld sum up the situation in 2 lines:

'Discordant notes do not melody make;
they produce noise in music's place'
till the time ppl in India aim fr their pockets national interest is redundant.
Anonymous guest 12 Dec 2010, 02:40
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This is in response to your assertions as to Wikileaks being a "gossip magazine." The amount of danger the owner of the site puts himself for keeping that website online is astonishing, I am sure you would find. It is definitely more than a gossip coloumn of diplomatic relations.

What should be of interest to you and all of us is the bend that society has taken. Capitalism has truly done its bidding in creating the perfect work machine, unperturbed by even the greatest of injustices done unto them, even as a body whole. We all know the scheme behind the USA plot. Wikileaks is providing us with evidence. And we all still content ourselves with McDonalds and the new Harley davidson showroom. LSD failed. Prozac hit the spot. We can truly do nothing to organize anything of valid proportions.
Anonymous guest 12 Dec 2010, 20:35
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All information revealed by Wikileaks may not necessarily be startling or novel, but it has certainly proved that USA can never be trusted and may back stab countries it supports publicly.
Anonymous guest 12 Dec 2010, 20:38
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Anonymous guest 12 Dec 2010, 20:40
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Why can't legal action be taken against Julian Assange or Wikileaks under America's Official Secrets provisions?
Dubby 13 Dec 2010, 12:30
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@#9,

The short answer is -
a) He is not an American cilizen.
b) He has not committed any offences on American soil.

If you are interested in more detailed information read this blog on the Guardian website :

http://www.guardian.co.uk/commentisfree/cifamerica/2010/dec/10/julian-assange-wikileaks?showallcomments=true#comment-fold
Dubby 13 Dec 2010, 12:51
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@#8

The problem with the wikileaks data being called "classified" is that the documents had such a wide circulation within the US government as to render the term meaningless.

In the Indian Armed Forces, we use various degrees of classification based on the sensitivity of the information and the damage a leak can cause. The more sensitive or dangerous a piece of information the higher the classification and the more restricted its access. The lowest classification is "RESTRICTED" which evryone has access to but is not meant for pubic circulation. Some time ago after an investigation into influence of arms dealers, a retired army officer was jailed under the Official Secrets Act for being in unauthorised possession of classified material to wit an Army HQ telephone directory marked "RESTRICTED".
Anonymous guest 25 Dec 2010, 01:42
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really good piece..enjoyed reading it...